Are Radiopharmaceutical Therapy Trials Designed to Undertreat?

Three numbers govern the design of nearly every radiopharmaceutical therapy (RPT) trial: 23 Gy to the kidneys, 2 Gy to the bone marrow, and 200 mCi (7.4 GBq) per cycle (using lutetium-177 compounds). However, none were derived from data specific to the agents they now constrain. With 30+ phase III RPT trials active and α-emitting agents entering the clinic, every new program inherits these values as if they were validated dose limits. They are not.


RPT occupies a unique position between radiation therapy and systemic drug development. Unlike external beam radiotherapy (EBRT), where absorbed dose is prescribed to a defined target volume, RPT is prescribed by administered activity, a surrogate that ignores the patient-specific biodistribution that determines how much radiation reaches the tumor and the organs at risk. Unlike conventional chemotherapy, where the therapeutic agent is the molecule itself, in RPT the molecule is only the vehicle; the radiation it delivers is the treatment. Yet the regulatory and clinical framework treats RPT like a drug: fixed dose, fixed schedule, toxicity-based modifications. This framework was built on dose constraints borrowed from EBRT and iodine-131 thyroid therapy, adopted when the field was in its infancy and dosimetry was impractical. As the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) acknowledged in its August 2025 draft guidance, these EBRT-derived limits have lessened applicability to RPT.


Kiess et al recently called for replacing these constraints with RPT-specific normal tissue complication probability curves. Here, the original publications behind each convention are traced, the evidence for their continued use is evaluated, and the system of forces that maintains them despite mounting contrary evidence is identified.

THE 200 mCi ACTIVITY: A PRODUCTION ARTIFACT FROZEN FOR TWO DECADES

The 200 mCi (7.4 GBq) per cycle was not a maximum tolerated dose. In the first Lu-177-DOTATATE clinical report, Kwekkeboom et al escalated through 100, 150, and 200 mCi in patients and stopped. The stated reason was pharmacological: 200 mCi of carrier-added Lu-177 labeled onto 180-300 µg of peptide, and higher peptide mass would saturate somatostatin receptors and reduce tumor uptake. The cumulative dose of 750-800 mCi was separately capped by the 23 Gy kidney and 2 Gy marrow limits. No formal phase I stopping rules governed the per-cycle escalation.


This constraint was a function of the radiochemistry available in 2001. Carrier-added Lu-177 from NRG Petten and MURR had limited specific activity (approximately 20-30 Ci/mg), so activity and peptide mass scaled together: more GBq meant inescapably more µg.Modern Lutathera uses no-carrier-added Lu-177 (specific activity >3,000 GBq/mg) and achieves 7.4 GBq with only 100 µg, roughly half the original mass.At today's molar activity, 15 GBq could be labeled onto the same 200 µg that Kwekkeboom considered acceptable. The per-cycle activity has not been revisited in over 20 years.


Successive series of 131 and 504 patients confirmed the safety of 200 mCi. NETTER-1 adopted it verbatim,and the dose now sits on both Lutathera and Pluvicto labels. The Lutathera label reports a mean cumulative kidney dose of 18-20 Gy over four cycles, below even the EBRT-derived threshold it was supposed to approach.


Several lines of evidence support the hypothesis that fixed-activity dosing undertreats a substantial fraction of patients. Kidney doses from the same 7.4 GBq vary 5-fold between patients, and renal dosimetry suggests that half could safely receive more than four cycles.In peptide-receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT), dosimetry-guided escalation increased cumulative activity by 22%, with higher tumor doses and no renal toxicity.In the largest prospective dosimetry-guided cohort, patients who reached the kidney dose limit lived 29 months longer than those who did not (54v25 months), although this was an observational comparison without randomization.

THE 23 Gy KIDNEY: AN EXPERT ESTIMATE THAT EVEN EBRT HAS REVISED

The same pattern of pragmatic adoption without validation applies to the kidney dose limit. The 23 Gy threshold originates from the 1991 consensus by Emami et al.,which estimated the TD 5/5 for bilateral whole-kidney EBRT based on clinical experience from the 1940s through the 1980s. The authors acknowledged that some values were based purely on the experience of the clinicians. The threshold applies to dose rates of approximately 1 Gy per minute. RPT delivers kidney dose three orders of magnitude lower, where the biologically effective dose (BED) for the same physical dose is substantially reduced.Wessels et al quantified the effect: the same 23 Gy yields a BED of 37-40 Gy for Y-90 but only 27-30 Gy for Lu-177. Even the EBRT community has lowered its own estimate: QUANTEC revised kidney tolerance to 15-18 Gy.17The RPT community continues to cite the 1991 value rather than the 2010 revision. One possible explanation is practical: the QUANTEC estimate of 15-18 Gy would place Lutathera's mean kidney dose above the threshold, creating a regulatory conflict for an already approved drug. Whether or not this is the reason, the pattern of selective citation, using the older, higher value while the originating field has moved to a lower one, weakens the argument that 23 Gy represents a validated safety boundary for RPT.


The most cited PRRT kidney study, Bodei et al,proposed BED thresholds of 28 and 40 Gy from 28 patients (23 Y-90, five Lu-177). The Lu-177 patients contributed zero toxicity events. BED correlated with toxicity (P= .036), but absorbed dose did not (P= .68). These are Y-90 BED thresholds, from a sample smaller than many phase I trials, applied to Lu-177 without validation. The kidney doses themselves were measured using planar imaging with In-111 surrogates for Y-90, a method carrying 20%-30% uncertainty.


Radiopeptide uptake concentrates in the proximal tubules, where the radiosensitive glomeruli reside in the outer cortex.Y-90's 11 mm beta range cross-irradiates glomeruli; Lu-177's 1.7 mm range does not.For the same whole-kidney dose, glomerular exposure is 2-3-fold higher with Y-90.


Despite the overwhelming evidence of absorbed dose-response relationships in radiation therapy, no study of Lu-177 PRRT has found a kidney dose-response relationship in series of up to 1,281 patients followed for over 5 years.Wahl et al concluded that EBRT-derived limits do not consistently predict toxicity from radiopharmaceuticals, and so these limits should not be strictly enforced.”

THE 2 Gy BONE MARROW: A ROUND NUMBER FROM 1962

A parallel story applies to bone marrow. Benua et al observed approximately 250 I-131 treatments at Memorial Sloan Kettering and found severe complications in one (4.2%) of 24 patients at blood doses of 1-2 Gy versus five (15.2%) of 33 (one fatal) at 2-3 Gy.The 200 rad (2 Gy) limit was drawn as an empirical line between these zones, not from a formal dose-response analysis. The measurement itself was of dose to blood, not to marrow, using a surrogate model that assumes no specific marrow binding, carries at least a factor-of-2 uncertainty, and misses 68% of marrow dose that comes from cross-irradiation by surrounding organs.Dorn et al later showed that 3 Gy was safe with no permanent marrow failure in 124 patients, suggesting even the original limit was conservative for I-131.


Applied to Lu-177 PRRT, this limit is irrelevant. In 200 prospectively monitored patients receiving up to 10 cycles, no patient reached 2 Gy.Typical cumulative marrow doses are 0.5-1.0 Gy.Yet 15% experienced grade 3 to 4 hematological toxicity, and three patients who developed myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) had marrow doses of 0.50, 0.92, and 1.18 Gy.In this population, the 2 Gy limit neither constrained treatment nor predicted toxicity. The spleen, which receives the highest dose of any organ (median 15 Gy), correlates with hemoglobin decline (P= .02), whereas marrow dose does not.These data suggest that splenic dose may be a more informative predictor of hematological toxicity than marrow dose in Lu-177 PRRT.

Prior Treatment Confounds Toxicity Attribution

These inherited limits interact with a further problem: most pivotal RPT trials enrolled heavily pretreated patients, and the toxicity attributed to the radiopharmaceutical may reflect prior treatment. VISION required prior androgen receptor pathway inhibitors and taxane chemotherapy.PSMAfore tested the same drug at the same dose in taxane-naïve patients.The hematological difference is notable: Grade 3 to 4 thrombocytopenia was 9% in VISION versus 2.7% in PSMAfore, and anemia was 15% versus 7%. Although these were distinct trials with different eligibility criteria and patient populations, the magnitude of the difference is consistent with the known myelosuppressive effects of prior taxane exposure and raises the possibility that a substantial fraction of hematological toxicity in VISION reflected preexisting marrow compromise rather than radiopharmaceutical effect.


The same pattern holds for PRRT. Therapy-related myeloid neoplasm rates range from 0.7% in first-line NETTER-2 to 20% in patients heavily pretreated with alkylating agents, where MDS showed monosomy 7, a cytogenetic hallmark of alkylating-induced disease.Dose limits derived from heavily pretreated populations may not apply to earlier-line patients with intact organ function and could result in unnecessary activity reductions. If so, trials designed around these limits risk testing subtherapeutic doses, potentially obscuring the benefit of otherwise effective agents.

Why These Limits Persist

Neither 23 Gy nor 2 Gy appears in any FDA drug label. Both Lutathera and Pluvicto prescribe fixed activities with toxicity-based dose modifications, not dosimetric thresholds. The limits persist through softer mechanisms: guideline entrenchment, the absence of a validated RPT-specific alternative, medicolegal incentives to stay within recognized thresholds, and pharmaceutical preference for fixed-dose labels. These forces operate alongside legitimate practical considerations. Fixed-activity protocols are simple to implement, reproducible across centers with varying technical capabilities, and compatible with existing regulatory infrastructure. Dosimetry requires specialized equipment, trained personnel, and standardized methodology that remain unevenly distributed, particularly outside academic centers. The persistence of activity-based dosing reflects these practical realities as much as inertia. The question is not whether practical barriers exist, but whether they justify continued use of limits that lack the evidence base they are assumed to have. Underlying all of these is the self-reinforcing cycle identified by the FDA itself: “empiric determination of RPT-specific organ tolerances … may not be possible if the evaluated dosages are limited based on EBRT organ tolerances.”

A Path Forward

1.Escalate on absorbed dose, not activity. Phase I trials should use organ absorbed dose as the escalation variable. DOSISPHERE-01 proved the principle: dosimetry-guided Y-90 treatment doubled response rates (71%v 36%, P = .007).Even the most progressive current trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier:NCT06395402), testing up to 400 mCi per cycle with individualized dosimetry, constrains itself with Bodei 2008's 28 Gy (BED) kidney limit,illustrating how inherited thresholds follow the field into dose-optimization research.


2.Build dosimetry end points into registration trials. Post-treatment dosimetry as a secondary end point converts every trial into a dose-response data set. Only 20 of 229 NETTER-1 patients had dosimetry; the drug was approved without dose-response data because the data were never collected.


3.Stratify by prior treatment burden. The 70% reduction in grade 3 to 4 thrombocytopenia between VISION and PSMAfore shows that toxicity is inseparable from prior treatment without stratification.


As RPTs move to earlier-line treatment and healthier populations, the dosimetry question shifts. In late-stage diffuse disease, escalation has typically meant pushing activity until organ toxicity defines the ceiling. In locally advanced or oligometastatic disease, where tumor volumes are confined and definable, prospective tumor dose prescription becomes feasible and arguably safer than toxicity-driven escalation. Prescribing radiation dose to a defined target is standard practice in every other form of radiotherapy. There is no reason RPT should be the exception, particularly for alpha emitters, where EBRT-derived normal tissue limits are even less applicable.


The 23 Gy kidney limit, the 2 Gy marrow limit, and the 200 mCi fixed activity each originated as a reasonable accommodation to the constraints of its era: 1940s-1980s EBRT experience, 1962 I-131 dosimetry, and 2001 carrier-added Lu-177 radiochemistry. The constraints have changed. The limits have not. Quantitative single-photon emission computed tomography/computed tomography dosimetry is now feasible for all major RPT procedures.The question is no longer whether dosimetry can be done, but whether we can afford to keep designing trials without it.